Caledonia Mining Valuation

CMCL Stock  USD 28.46  1.93  7.27%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Caledonia Mining shows a prevailing Real Value of $35.27 per share. The current price of the firm is $28.46. Our model approximates the value of Caledonia Mining from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.22 %, return on equity of 0.22, and Current Valuation of 539.05 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Caledonia Mining's valuation include:
Price Book
2.1843
Enterprise Value
539 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
5.5298
Price Sales
2.4071
Forward PE
11.1732
Undervalued
Today
28.46
Please note that Caledonia Mining's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Caledonia Mining is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Caledonia Mining's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Caledonia stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Caledonia Mining. Since Caledonia Mining is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Caledonia Stock. However, Caledonia Mining's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  28.46 Real  35.27 Target  46.25 Hype  29.57
The intrinsic value of Caledonia Mining's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Caledonia Mining's stock price.
35.27
Real Value
40.35
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Caledonia Mining helps investors to forecast how Caledonia stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Caledonia Mining more accurately as focusing exclusively on Caledonia Mining's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.341.341.34
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.4929.5734.65
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
42.0946.2551.34
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Caledonia Mining's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Caledonia Mining's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Caledonia Mining's closest peers.

Caledonia Mining Cash

7.93 Million

Caledonia Mining Total Value Analysis

Caledonia Mining is currently forecasted to have valuation of 539.05 M with market capitalization of 549.41 M, debt of 25.06 M, and cash on hands of 10.86 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Caledonia Mining fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
539.05 M
549.41 M
25.06 M
10.86 M

Caledonia Mining Investor Information

About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Caledonia Mining was currently reported as 12.81. The company last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2025. Caledonia Mining had 1:5 split on the 27th of June 2017. Caledonia Mining is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate likelihood of reporting better financial numbers in March.

Caledonia Mining Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Caledonia Mining has an asset utilization ratio of 52.54 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.53 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Caledonia Mining is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Caledonia Mining Profitability Analysis

Considering the key profitability indicators obtained from Caledonia Mining's historical financial statements, Caledonia Mining is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great likelihood to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess Caledonia Mining's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1989-03-31
Previous Quarter
20.5 M
Current Value
15.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
6.2 M
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Gross Profit is expected to rise to about 93 M this year. Pretax Profit Margin is expected to rise to 0.21 this year
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.40.38
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
For Caledonia Mining profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Caledonia Mining to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Caledonia Mining utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Caledonia Mining's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Caledonia Mining over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Caledonia Mining Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Caledonia Mining's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Caledonia Mining's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Caledonia Mining is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Caledonia Mining is projected to generate 1.3375 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Caledonia Mining earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Caledonia Mining EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Caledonia Mining's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Caledonia Mining, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Caledonia Mining Ownership Allocation

Caledonia Mining holds a total of 19.3 Million outstanding shares. Over half of Caledonia Mining's outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These other corporate entities are typically referred to as corporate investors that acquire positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Caledonia Mining Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 183.02 M. Net Income was 17.9 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 134.48 M.

Caledonia Mining Past Distributions to stockholders

About Caledonia Mining Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Caledonia Mining. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Caledonia Mining based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Caledonia Mining's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Caledonia Mining's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Caledonia Mining. We calculate exposure to Caledonia Mining's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Caledonia Mining's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit88.5 M93 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.20  0.21 
Operating Profit Margin 0.21  0.23 
Net Profit Margin 0.09  0.09 
Gross Profit Margin 0.38  0.40 
Caledonia Mining's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Caledonia Mining's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Caledonia Mining can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Caledonia Mining represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Caledonia, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Caledonia Mining Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Caledonia Mining's Dividend Payout Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is expected to rise to 1.00 this year, although the value of Dividends Paid is projected to rise to (13.4 M). . Earnings Yield is expected to rise to 0.09 this year, although the value of Retained Earnings will most likely fall to (85 M).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-14.1 M-13.4 M
Dividend Yield 0.08  0.08 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.62  0.65 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.95  1.00 
There are various types of dividends Caledonia Mining can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Caledonia shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Caledonia Mining directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Caledonia pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Caledonia Mining by the value of the dividends paid out.

Caledonia Mining Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Caledonia Mining does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y5.417
Forward Price Earnings11.1732

Caledonia Mining Current Valuation Indicators

Caledonia Mining's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Caledonia Mining's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Caledonia Mining, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Caledonia Mining's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Caledonia Mining's worth.
When determining whether Caledonia Mining is a strong investment it is important to analyze Caledonia Mining's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Caledonia Mining's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Caledonia Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Caledonia Mining. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in services.
For more information on how to buy Caledonia Stock please use our How to buy in Caledonia Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Caledonia Mining. Projected growth potential of Caledonia fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Caledonia Mining assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.417
Dividend Share
0.56
Earnings Share
2.56
Revenue Per Share
11.793
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.529
Understanding Caledonia Mining requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Caledonia's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Caledonia Mining's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Caledonia Mining's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Caledonia Mining's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Caledonia Mining should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Caledonia Mining's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.